NSP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -7.7% | -8.1% | 12.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.7% | -2.2% | 6.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.4% | 3.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | -7.3% | -9.0% | 14.4% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.9% | +4.5% | +1.6% | -5.1% | -0.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.31 | +6.2% | -7.1% | -19.8% | +14.2% | +25.7% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | -0.47 | -0.60 | -28.9% | +5.0% | -10.9% | -16.0% | -32.7% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.22 | -0.20 | -190.1% | -20.8% | -17.9% | -7.6% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | 0.41 | 0.26 | -36.3% | -6.3% | -24.4% | +18.6% | +20.8% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 2.02 | 1.57 | -22.4% | -16.8% | -14.5% | -2.8% | -3.0% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +177.8% | +5.3% | +16.2% | +7.4% | +8.4% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.7% | -0.2% | -2.9% | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.73 | 0.86 | +18.6% | -2.3% | -5.2% | -4.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.27 | +6.8% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -9.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.