NU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +2.1% | 8.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 30% |
| 5-day | -1.8% | -0.1% | 11.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.0% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +2.0% | — |
| 2026-05-14 miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -5.2% | -7.2% | -5.7% | +4.4% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -1.6% | -4.4% | -9.5% | -1.6% | -9.7% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +1.5% | +0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +2.4% | +11.6% | +9.1% | +6.4% | +21.3% |
| 2025-05-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -1.2% | -3.2% | +2.7% | -11.1% | -11.8% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.11 | 0.11 | -0.2% | -10.7% | -18.9% | -0.6% | +8.0% |
| 2024-11-13 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +9.7% | -8.5% | -2.9% | -11.8% | -22.7% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +12.5% | -0.2% | +5.3% | +7.6% | +10.2% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +3.8% | +4.1% | +4.7% | -3.2% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.