NVCR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.5% | 11.3% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 4.8% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.5% | 3.8% | 63% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.5% | 15.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | -0.33 | -0.13 | +60.8% | +15.6% | +28.4% | -23.8% | -14.5% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | -0.51 | -0.62 | -20.9% | +12.0% | +27.5% | +10.7% | +8.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.41 | -0.22 | +46.5% | -11.6% | -8.3% | +3.5% | -20.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.42 | -0.33 | +21.4% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -12.1% | -8.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | -0.39 | -0.36 | +7.3% | -0.1% | -24.0% | -7.7% | -0.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | -0.46 | -0.31 | +33.2% | +6.6% | +4.4% | -3.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | -0.34 | -0.61 | -77.1% | -8.4% | -12.4% | +0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +16.2% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +6.5% | +18.0% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | -0.40 | -0.31 | +23.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +14.7% | -3.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.42 | -0.36 | +14.2% | +5.1% | +11.4% | +13.7% | +68.4% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.52 | -0.45 | +13.7% | +8.7% | -2.4% | +0.5% | -13.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | -0.52 | -0.46 | +12.4% | +2.8% | -7.5% | +4.0% | -8.5% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | -0.50 | -0.54 | -8.0% | +0.0% | -15.9% | -14.2% | -12.3% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.34 | -0.50 | -47.1% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +9.6% | +23.6% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -0.31 | -0.36 | -15.3% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -4.1% | -27.0% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +2.8% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | -0.14 | -0.23 | -59.3% | -5.5% | -5.0% | +6.6% | +17.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | -0.19 | -0.04 | +79.1% | +2.2% | +0.3% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.10 | -0.25 | -144.5% | -13.0% | +6.8% | -4.9% | +2.9% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -106.6% | -4.1% | -8.2% | +5.1% | -8.2% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 0.01 | -0.14 | -1698.2% | -5.9% | -9.9% | -4.2% | -17.8% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -411.0% | -3.9% | -0.1% | -5.7% | -0.6% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.13 | 0.05 | -60.2% | -1.2% | -14.0% | -10.5% | -16.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +129.4% | +4.5% | +6.8% | -0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +287.6% | +8.8% | +12.0% | +3.7% | +7.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +17.6% | +0.6% | -10.5% | -3.0% | +0.8% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | — | 0.04 | +900.0% | -8.1% | -2.7% | -6.1% | -15.2% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -0.04 | 0.02 | +154.9% | +1.7% | -3.5% | +5.1% | +23.2% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +84.4% | +1.6% | +8.6% | +11.4% | +20.0% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +11.2% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +10.4% | +17.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.