NVDA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.8% | +0.3% | 8.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.8% | 3.6% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 3.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | -1.4% | 12.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.22 | +6.2% | +6.3% | +8.7% | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.5% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -3.8% | -8.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.3% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -0.8% | -9.4% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.5% | +5.1% | -3.2% | -2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -7.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.0% | +5.5% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +13.5% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +5.2% | +2.8% | -8.5% | -8.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.5% | +2.4% | +0.5% | -5.7% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +5.7% | -3.4% | -6.4% | -12.6% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +9.7% | +7.5% | +9.3% | +5.6% | +21.5% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +11.4% | +11.2% | +16.4% | +0.7% | +20.1% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +18.7% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -4.0% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-23 beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +29.4% | +6.6% | +0.1% | +4.6% | -10.5% |
| 2023-05-24 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +18.8% | +26.1% | +24.4% | +3.5% | +10.3% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +9.4% | +12.9% | +14.0% | -1.5% | +13.2% |
| 2022-11-16 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -17.3% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +3.8% | +3.7% |
| 2022-08-24 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -1.5% | -2.2% | +4.0% | -22.2% | -31.7% |
| 2022-05-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.9% | -5.5% | +5.2% | +4.9% | -10.5% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.0% | -3.3% | -7.6% | -1.4% | +9.1% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +5.8% | +10.6% | +8.2% | -0.5% | -12.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.