NVDA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.9% | +2.4% | 8.2% | 58% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 3.7% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.8% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +2.5% | 11.7% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 2.09 | 2.22 | +6.2% | +6.3% | +8.7% | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.5% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -3.8% | -8.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.3% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -0.8% | -9.4% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.5% | +5.1% | -3.2% | -2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -7.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.0% | +5.5% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +13.5% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +5.2% | +2.8% | -8.5% | -8.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.5% | +2.4% | +0.5% | -5.7% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +5.7% | -3.4% | -6.4% | -12.6% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +9.7% | +7.5% | +9.3% | +5.6% | +21.5% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +11.4% | +11.2% | +16.4% | +0.7% | +20.1% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +18.7% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -4.0% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-23 beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +29.4% | +6.6% | +0.1% | +4.6% | -10.5% |
| 2023-05-24 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +18.8% | +26.1% | +24.4% | +3.5% | +10.3% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +9.4% | +12.9% | +14.0% | -1.5% | +13.2% |
| 2022-11-16 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -17.3% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +3.8% | +3.7% |
| 2022-08-24 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -1.5% | -2.2% | +4.0% | -22.2% | -31.7% |
| 2022-05-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.9% | -5.5% | +5.2% | +4.9% | -10.5% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.0% | -3.3% | -7.6% | -1.4% | +9.1% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +5.8% | +10.6% | +8.2% | -0.5% | -12.5% |
| 2021-08-18 beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +2.3% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +11.5% | +6.6% |
| 2021-05-26 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +11.4% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +13.5% | +29.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +10.4% | -3.1% | -8.2% | -7.0% | -3.5% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +14.2% | -1.6% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2020-08-19 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +10.7% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +3.1% |
| 2020-05-21 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +6.9% | +0.6% | +2.9% | -2.4% | +4.7% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +12.9% | +6.1% | +7.0% | -5.7% | -25.0% |
| 2019-11-14 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +13.2% | -0.1% | -2.7% | +3.3% | +11.8% |
| 2019-08-15 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +8.2% | +7.1% | +7.3% | +1.8% | +13.5% |
| 2019-05-16 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +8.8% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -7.3% | -2.3% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +6.5% | +5.5% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +11.7% |
| 2018-11-15 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -4.1% | -19.3% | -18.8% | -6.9% | -15.8% |
| 2018-08-16 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +5.1% | -1.7% | -4.9% | +11.2% | +10.7% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +23.5% | -2.8% | -2.2% | -3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +29.9% | +9.5% | +6.7% | +5.1% | +6.7% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +23.8% | +3.8% | +5.3% | -2.2% | -11.7% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +23.8% | -4.6% | -5.3% | +3.5% | +8.7% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +4.5% | +11.0% | +17.8% | +5.3% | +23.4% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +15.5% | +3.1% | -2.3% | -5.6% | -10.4% |
| 2016-11-10 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +37.8% | +17.4% | +29.8% | +6.1% | +3.6% |
| 2016-08-11 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +11.0% | +3.8% | +5.6% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 2016-05-12 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +13.0% | +10.2% | +15.3% | +8.1% | +14.3% |
| 2016-02-17 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +19.4% | +8.1% | +8.5% | +6.1% | +12.5% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +30.7% | +9.8% | +13.9% | -5.6% | +6.3% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +66.7% | +10.0% | +12.5% | +2.4% | -1.4% |
| 2015-05-07 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | -6.6% | -7.3% | +2.3% | +5.0% |
| 2015-02-11 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +18.5% | +5.8% | +7.3% | +0.0% | +2.9% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +10.1% | +1.0% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +4.6% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +21.2% | +4.3% | +8.7% | +0.2% | +2.7% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +27.9% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -0.4% | +6.2% |
| 2014-02-12 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +32.5% | +2.4% | +3.1% | +7.4% | +2.5% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +1.2% | +3.0% | +6.9% | +3.9% | +0.0% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | — | 0.01 | +22.3% | -4.1% | -1.6% | +5.0% | +6.6% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | — | — | +16.0% | +2.0% | +4.3% | +2.5% | -2.5% |
| 2013-02-13 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +17.6% | -1.3% | +2.9% | -1.6% | -1.3% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +9.2% | +0.6% | -3.8% | -6.6% | +3.6% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +23.2% | +2.4% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -8.2% |
| 2012-05-11 beat | — | — | +4.2% | +8.4% | +6.5% | -8.5% | -5.2% |
| 2012-02-15 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +9.6% | -6.7% | +1.7% | -3.9% | -10.9% |
| 2011-11-10 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +11.0% | +2.8% | +3.6% | -7.2% | -5.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.