NVEE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | +2.0% | 10.2% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 3.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -1.3% | 11.5% | 46% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | 0.42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +27.3% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -8.9% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +19.3% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -36.8% | +7.3% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +9.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +12.2% | -1.1% | -7.6% | -6.0% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.9% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% | -8.2% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -13.4% | +1.5% | +2.3% | -1.4% | -6.2% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -4.0% | -1.1% | -6.1% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.6% | +1.6% | -1.3% | -2.2% | +8.2% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.3% | -0.4% | -1.0% | -5.4% | -7.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +6.6% | +13.0% | +5.5% | -7.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.39 | 0.30 | -21.6% | -10.6% | -12.5% | -1.5% | -6.5% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.0% | -4.7% | -1.6% | +5.7% | +4.5% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +9.9% | +5.3% | -1.1% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +6.6% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -0.5% | +10.1% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.40 | +54.6% | +4.4% | +12.8% | +2.5% | +10.8% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +8.6% | -2.2% | +2.7% | -3.3% | +11.1% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | 0.25 | 0.34 | +32.3% | +6.2% | +5.8% | -3.5% | -2.1% |
| 2021-05-12 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +4.4% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +8.1% | +7.2% |
| 2021-03-02 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +18.6% | -1.0% | +2.4% | +2.7% | -7.9% |
| 2020-11-11 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +59.9% | +8.2% | +7.6% | +8.1% | +0.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +57.6% | +5.8% | +5.1% | -11.5% | -17.5% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.2% | +4.0% | +3.5% | -13.9% | +8.7% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -11.1% | -6.5% | -11.6% | -2.5% | -39.1% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.20 | -23.5% | -8.6% | -24.2% | -3.2% | -15.2% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +10.7% | -0.4% | -11.0% | -9.7% | -1.3% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.8% | +13.4% | +15.4% | +1.8% | +7.4% |
| 2019-03-07 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -3.7% | -25.8% | -32.3% | +17.0% | +18.2% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +2.9% | -2.1% | +2.5% | -18.2% | -28.6% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +21.7% | -2.7% | +8.6% | -0.4% | +5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.