NVS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.4% | 3.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 1.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.2% | 3.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 2.15 | 2.41 | +12.2% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.00 | 2.03 | +1.3% | +2.6% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 2.31 | 2.25 | -2.6% | -2.8% | -4.4% | +1.3% | +5.7% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 2.37 | 2.42 | +2.0% | -2.3% | -3.3% | +2.6% | +8.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.17 | 2.28 | +5.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.98 | +12.7% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +6.4% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.93 | 2.06 | +6.6% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.86 | 1.97 | +5.9% | -3.6% | -4.1% | +2.5% | +7.0% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 1.68 | 1.80 | +6.9% | +3.8% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-01-30 miss | 1.66 | 1.53 | -7.7% | -2.0% | -4.0% | +0.0% | -1.4% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 1.74 | 1.74 | -0.2% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2023-07-17 beat | 1.76 | 1.83 | +4.0% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.53 | 1.71 | +11.9% | +4.2% | +3.4% | -0.5% | -3.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.0% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 1.62 | 1.58 | -2.2% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +3.2% | +11.2% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 1.54 | 1.56 | +1.4% | +4.2% | +4.0% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 1.51 | 1.46 | -3.2% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -1.7% | +2.6% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.41 | 1.40 | -1.0% | -3.6% | -2.6% | +1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.66 | 1.71 | +3.2% | +0.7% | +1.8% | -1.3% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.