NVS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.3% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.0% | 4.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 2.15 | 2.41 | +12.2% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.00 | 2.03 | +1.3% | +2.6% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 2.31 | 2.25 | -2.6% | -2.8% | -4.4% | +1.3% | +5.7% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 2.37 | 2.42 | +2.0% | -2.3% | -3.3% | +2.6% | +8.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.17 | 2.28 | +5.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.98 | +12.7% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +6.4% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.93 | 2.06 | +6.6% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.86 | 1.97 | +5.9% | -3.6% | -4.1% | +2.5% | +7.0% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 1.68 | 1.80 | +6.9% | +3.8% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.