NWG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.9% | +3.2% | 4.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -1.0% | 1.6% | 30% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.8% | 3.7% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.47 | 0.54 | +14.0% | +3.6% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.8% | -4.1% | -3.3% | +2.9% | +5.0% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +21.4% | -4.2% | -1.6% | +3.6% | -3.4% |
| 2025-10-24 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.2% | +3.7% | +5.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-25 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.8% | +2.9% | +4.2% | -2.8% | +8.8% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +21.0% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +11.5% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +46.5% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +4.4% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +44.7% | +5.7% | +8.0% | -11.6% | -2.7% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +11.6% | +5.6% | +6.2% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | 0.17 | 0.35 | +105.0% | +5.5% | +7.8% | +0.5% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.