NYT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 8.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 3.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | +2.4% | 9.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.6% | -7.1% | -13.4% | -2.3% | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.47 | 0.61 | +30.2% | +7.4% | +8.3% | -8.0% | -8.1% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.1% | -13.7% | -6.3% | +5.5% | +18.9% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.8% | +3.2% | -0.2% | +9.8% | +12.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +12.7% | +6.8% | +15.5% | -2.1% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +19.9% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.3% | -4.7% | -11.9% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +8.9% | -3.0% | -7.7% | +4.6% | +4.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +54.2% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.59 | 0.70 | +19.6% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +28.0% | +2.5% | +6.0% | +0.5% | +5.8% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.38 | +78.6% | +4.9% | +8.5% | -3.0% | +0.7% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +13.8% | -1.3% | -7.8% | +1.5% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.43 | 0.59 | +36.9% | +8.0% | +12.0% | -3.1% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.13 | 0.21 | +59.2% | +4.3% | +7.4% | +8.3% | +13.2% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +28.4% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.7% | -0.2% | +1.6% | -18.3% | -13.2% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.1% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +10.7% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.6% | -0.4% | -9.6% | -5.7% | -5.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.