OLED chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +0.9% | 9.1% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | -0.8% | 3.4% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 37% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.9% | 10.9% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.03 | 1.06 | +2.4% | -1.7% | -0.2% | +13.8% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 1.15 | 0.76 | -34.0% | +8.6% | +10.7% | -4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 1.26 | 1.39 | +10.2% | +0.2% | -11.1% | +2.5% | -9.6% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 1.21 | 0.92 | -23.8% | -15.8% | -7.7% | -6.5% | -2.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.17 | 1.41 | +20.5% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -5.1% | -4.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.12 | 1.35 | +20.2% | +2.7% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 1.08 | 0.96 | -10.8% | +1.8% | +6.8% | -2.3% | -2.4% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.40 | +16.5% | -0.1% | -11.2% | +1.7% | -8.2% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 1.17 | 1.10 | -5.8% | -11.5% | -19.0% | -2.1% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.08 | 1.19 | +10.3% | +9.4% | +9.3% | +0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.8% | -4.5% | -8.1% | +1.6% | -3.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +6.1% | -1.5% | +3.6% | +5.9% | +19.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.72 | 1.04 | +44.2% | +8.6% | +13.7% | -2.7% | +2.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.3% | +2.4% | +5.1% | +2.3% | +8.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.95 | 1.36 | +43.4% | +2.3% | +6.1% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.00 | 1.12 | +12.4% | +9.5% | +12.1% | +9.7% | +13.4% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.05 | 0.87 | -17.1% | -0.6% | +5.3% | +0.6% | -16.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +3.0% | +3.6% | +4.1% | -6.4% | -4.9% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 1.01 | 0.96 | -4.6% | +0.1% | +22.7% | -4.5% | +3.4% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 1.08 | 0.97 | -10.5% | -5.4% | -5.5% | -1.0% | -10.2% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.4% | -7.2% | -10.5% | -6.2% | -1.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.81 | 1.08 | +33.6% | -1.9% | +1.4% | -12.9% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.63 | 1.13 | +79.3% | +2.2% | -5.2% | -5.8% | +4.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.49 | 0.85 | +75.0% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +7.1% | +16.4% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.02 | -93.3% | -5.7% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -11.0% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +24.3% | -0.3% | -3.2% | -5.4% | +9.7% |
| 2020-02-20 miss | 0.75 | 0.56 | -25.2% | -5.8% | -2.5% | -8.9% | -36.2% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.61 | 0.78 | +27.2% | +11.7% | +15.3% | -0.6% | -3.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.47 | 0.92 | +93.9% | +4.3% | -1.6% | +3.5% | -2.3% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.66 | +108.7% | +13.1% | +8.8% | -3.4% | -11.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.