OLLI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +1.1% | 6.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 4.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.0% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +0.2% | 7.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.93 | — | — | +5.1% | +2.1% | -2.6% | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.6% | -1.5% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -13.3% |
| 2026-03-12 miss | 1.41 | 1.39 | -1.1% | +2.3% | +1.5% | -3.0% | -12.6% |
| 2025-12-09 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.4% | -6.7% | -4.0% | -3.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 0.93 | 0.99 | +6.8% | +6.2% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2025-06-03 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.8% | -4.6% | -1.8% | +2.8% | +19.1% |
| 2025-03-19 miss | 1.19 | 1.19 | -0.4% | +7.5% | +9.0% | +0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2024-12-10 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.4% | +11.4% | +13.2% | +3.5% | -8.8% |
| 2024-08-29 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.0% | -2.2% | -7.6% | +0.5% | +11.9% |
| 2024-06-05 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.2% | +3.6% | +9.5% | -5.5% | +11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.