OMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.3% | -5.6% | 22.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.7% | 8.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +2.9% | +1.9% | 5.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -3.8% | 23.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 miss | -0.07 | -1.94 | -2671.4% | +0.4% | -20.0% | -19.9% | -32.5% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -5.7% | -16.5% | -34.7% | +17.7% | +18.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.15 | -0.32 | -118.2% | +7.5% | -9.9% | +1.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.7% | +12.3% | +39.0% | +4.4% | -5.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.4% | -4.6% | -10.2% | +11.4% | +22.8% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.6% | -5.9% | -1.3% | -6.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.9% | -2.7% | -25.7% | +2.3% | -5.2% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.0% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +15.0% | +20.1% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +17.3% | +6.6% | +27.1% | -12.6% | +10.9% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.1% | -3.2% | +1.3% | +6.1% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.