ON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.7% | 8.5% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 3.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 3.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.1% | 9.4% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +3.5% | +5.0% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -10.4% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +4.1% | -4.3% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +28.4% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.5% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +4.9% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.6% | -1.1% | +0.8% | -3.8% | +13.3% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.4% | -5.0% | -15.6% | -1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.6% | -3.3% | -8.4% | +16.2% | +30.9% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.4% | -0.6% | -8.2% | +10.4% | -8.9% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.4% | -5.5% | +1.4% | -3.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.6% | +8.2% | +11.5% | -11.9% | -2.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.05 | 1.08 | +3.3% | -0.1% | +4.1% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.0% | +6.7% | +9.5% | +4.3% | +0.0% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 1.34 | 1.39 | +3.5% | -12.2% | -21.8% | +1.4% | +9.6% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 1.21 | 1.33 | +9.8% | +4.4% | +2.5% | -3.9% | -9.4% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 1.08 | 1.19 | +9.8% | +4.1% | +8.9% | +2.8% | +6.7% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.4% | -3.9% | -0.6% | +5.0% | +3.4% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.4% | -2.3% | -9.0% | +6.6% | +22.4% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 1.26 | 1.34 | +6.3% | -3.8% | -4.7% | +5.8% | +8.3% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.05 | 1.22 | +16.3% | +3.4% | +6.7% | -8.6% | +6.6% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 0.94 | 1.09 | +16.0% | +4.3% | +8.4% | -5.8% | -6.2% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 0.74 | 0.87 | +18.2% | +11.8% | +14.4% | +6.8% | +12.2% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.49 | 0.63 | +28.8% | +9.9% | +11.7% | +4.1% | +1.6% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +4.5% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2021-02-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +26.1% | +5.5% | +6.4% | +8.4% | +8.1% |
| 2020-10-31 beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +34.2% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +8.1% | +16.2% |
| 2020-08-08 beat | 0.02 | 0.12 | +544.8% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2020-05-09 miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -34.3% | -8.0% | -8.5% | -0.3% | +24.3% |
| 2020-02-03 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -7.5% | -7.3% | -14.0% | +3.2% | -5.9% |
| 2019-10-27 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.1% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +3.6% | +4.7% |
| 2019-08-04 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.8% | +1.0% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| 2019-04-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.4% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +3.4% | -18.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.