ONEW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -4.8% | 10.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.2% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | -0.4% | 4.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.7% | -2.6% | 19.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.78 | 0.73 | -6.6% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -3.7% | -3.5% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.07 | -0.34 | -585.7% | -6.6% | -7.1% | +27.2% | +18.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | -0.57 | -0.04 | +93.0% | +5.8% | -2.5% | +3.4% | -14.0% |
| 2025-11-13 miss | 0.21 | — | -100.0% | -9.5% | -10.5% | -23.3% | -20.9% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 1.06 | 0.79 | -25.3% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +2.5% | +9.7% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.34 | 0.13 | -61.2% | -20.7% | -8.5% | -8.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | -0.84 | -0.54 | +36.0% | +17.3% | +13.7% | +7.6% | -6.4% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | 0.15 | -0.36 | -340.0% | -15.2% | -10.4% | -5.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 2.17 | 1.05 | -51.6% | -17.9% | -15.5% | -14.9% | -6.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -2.0% | +5.9% | +14.1% | +6.0% | +31.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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