OPEN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -6.2% | 16.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -2.5% | -3.2% | 8.2% | 22% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.3% | 6.8% | 52% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -5.5% | 20.0% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -31.9% | -5.5% | -8.7% | -7.2% | -16.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +16.3% | +0.6% | -5.8% | -12.6% | -13.4% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +24.3% | +18.3% | +7.5% | +8.4% | +4.2% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -19.6% | -18.7% | +0.0% | +23.8% | +13.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +35.5% | -25.0% | -24.6% | +27.4% | +250.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +15.9% | +14.1% | +24.4% | -14.0% | -22.0% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -0.14 | -0.11 | +21.3% | -6.3% | -6.3% | -10.4% | -23.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -0.13 | -0.10 | +24.0% | +3.2% | -1.1% | -10.3% | +11.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +51.0% | -11.0% | -12.7% | -10.8% | +4.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +28.2% | +17.2% | +8.9% | +5.0% | -2.3% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -0.19 | -0.14 | +22.9% | -5.7% | -10.4% | +1.7% | -8.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +24.4% | +4.1% | -5.0% | -0.5% | +61.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.38 | -0.30 | +23.2% | -12.6% | -26.3% | -3.1% | +6.9% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.73 | -0.64 | +12.4% | +9.6% | +32.6% | +8.9% | +37.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | -0.74 | -0.74 | +0.8% | -9.3% | -12.1% | -4.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.41 | -0.52 | -28.1% | +1.7% | -13.7% | +3.0% | -30.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +63.4% | +1.1% | +21.7% | +10.1% | -26.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.06 | 0.15 | +337.7% | +11.3% | -6.2% | +8.3% | +10.1% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.10 | -0.13 | -33.7% | -11.7% | -23.1% | -19.9% | +6.0% |
| 2021-11-10 miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -186.0% | +20.6% | +15.6% | -8.5% | -35.2% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | -0.05 | — | +108.4% | +17.2% | +24.0% | -17.0% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-11 miss | 0.08 | -0.04 | -143.8% | -1.5% | -13.0% | -3.9% | +13.3% |
| 2021-03-04 miss | -0.05 | -0.23 | -361.8% | -3.1% | -9.8% | +23.0% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.