OPY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -1.4% | 10.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-07-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.63 | +34.0% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +7.7% | +13.8% |
| 2018-04-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.48 | +50.0% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +4.3% | +5.2% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.69 | 0.88 | +28.2% | +2.9% | +2.7% | -7.8% | -5.7% |
| 2017-10-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.53 | +232.8% | +2.7% | +7.5% | +17.0% | +35.0% |
| 2017-07-28 miss | 0.16 | -0.10 | -162.5% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2017-04-28 miss | 0.10 | -0.04 | -142.6% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -1.7% | -9.5% |
| 2017-01-27 miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -150.6% | -1.3% | -9.1% | +0.3% | -2.6% |
| 2016-10-28 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -68.3% | -0.3% | -5.4% | -0.4% | +31.0% |
| 2016-07-29 miss | -0.15 | -0.31 | -112.6% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2016-04-29 miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -392.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -9.4% | +3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.