ORGO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +12.1% | -1.0% | 41.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -2.3% | -2.4% | 7.8% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 5.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +6.5% | +1.1% | 35.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.35 | -0.69 | -97.7% | -27.4% | -22.8% | -3.8% | -14.0% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -18.0% | -19.4% | -6.3% | +1.7% | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.40 | +90.5% | +0.8% | -13.2% | -13.1% | -28.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.07 | 0.18 | +153.6% | +31.4% | +44.7% | +8.3% | -17.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | -0.01 | -0.06 | -491.0% | -10.2% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -254.7% | -14.8% | -42.7% | +0.7% | +13.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +231.2% | +32.2% | +102.3% | -17.0% | -30.4% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 0.02 | 0.10 | +383.0% | +11.6% | +28.4% | -10.4% | -23.3% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.02 | — | -90.0% | +6.9% | -2.7% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +63.7% | +10.1% | +32.9% | -9.6% | -10.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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