OTIS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.8% | 4.4% | 38% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 2.2% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 54% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.6% | 4.8% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.01 | +0.4% | -2.2% | -2.1% | +4.2% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 0.90 | 0.89 | -0.8% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -8.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.03 | 1.03 | -0.3% | -6.3% | -2.2% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +4.7% | +3.0% | +2.3% | -2.3% | -4.9% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +2.1% | -11.9% | -12.4% | -2.3% | -1.0% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.1% | -3.0% | -6.7% | +4.3% | +5.3% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 0.96 | 0.93 | -2.8% | -1.9% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +5.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.97 | 0.96 | -1.0% | -4.2% | -3.0% | +2.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.03 | 1.06 | +3.0% | -8.3% | -7.1% | +3.4% | +2.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +1.8% | -0.6% | -4.2% | -2.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.1% | +1.3% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +8.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +8.2% | -2.8% | -2.3% | +1.8% | +12.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +6.5% | -1.9% | +3.6% | -1.5% | -8.7% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.1% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +4.5% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.75 | 0.75 | +0.3% | +0.3% | +2.8% | -1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +2.0% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +15.1% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +9.5% | +0.1% | +5.1% | +3.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.0% | +2.5% | +1.6% | -2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.5% | -1.8% | +3.2% | -4.4% | -7.8% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.0% | -5.3% | -4.4% | -1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.7% | +1.6% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.72 | +14.3% | +7.2% | +7.0% | +2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2021-02-01 beat | 0.59 | 0.66 | +11.4% | +2.1% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +3.8% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +22.9% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +6.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +26.4% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +3.9% | +6.5% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.46 | 0.38 | -17.4% | +1.5% | +7.2% | -7.4% | +18.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.