OWL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -1.4% | 5.6% | 29% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.3% | 3.7% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.0% | 3.1% | 62% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | -0.7% | 12.8% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.8% | +0.5% | +6.4% | +12.8% | +18.3% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.4% | +2.8% | +9.8% | +6.2% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +6.8% | +1.2% | -3.6% | +7.4% | -15.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.6% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -5.7% | -5.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.9% | +2.3% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -4.3% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -7.2% | -3.4% | -3.3% | +3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -2.0% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -5.0% | -25.1% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.5% | -2.0% | -3.2% | +1.7% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +8.7% | -1.7% | -9.9% | -1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.2% | +5.7% | -2.9% | +2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +3.4% | +4.1% | +6.6% | +1.8% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.5% | +2.4% | -0.9% | +6.4% | +7.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +2.0% | -1.9% | -0.3% | -2.3% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -1.0% | +2.9% | -6.7% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +0.8% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -21.4% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +7.8% | +5.6% | +9.6% | +30.1% | +2.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +17.5% | +0.3% | +4.0% | +7.9% | -9.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.11 | -4.2% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -13.0% | +5.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +8.1% | -1.3% | -10.5% | +4.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +37.5% | -0.3% | -6.0% | -1.2% | -5.5% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +50.0% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +5.3% | +26.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.