P chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -2.2% | 13.9% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.9% | 3.8% | 41% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | -1.5% | 16.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 0.58 | 0.70 | +21.0% | +1.6% | -8.9% | -1.1% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +18.9% | -13.1% | -14.8% | +7.5% | -1.0% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.0% | -0.1% | -10.3% | -7.4% | -10.6% |
| 2025-12-02 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.7% | -16.8% | -27.3% | +7.0% | +1.2% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.9% | +14.5% | +32.3% | -1.6% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +17.1% | -6.5% | -2.7% | +1.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.3% | -11.6% | -14.8% | -8.0% | -13.5% |
| 2024-12-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.3% | +17.0% | +22.1% | -5.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +18.9% | -14.6% | -15.8% | -9.1% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-29 beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +50.4% | +8.7% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +14.7% | +13.0% | +25.0% | +8.6% | -1.1% |
| 2023-11-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +25.0% | -18.2% | -12.2% | -2.4% | +4.5% |
| 2023-08-30 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +22.4% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +6.9% | -2.9% |
| 2023-05-31 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +115.6% | +7.7% | +19.1% | +0.8% | +8.2% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.53 | +37.1% | -10.6% | -15.1% | -2.7% | +4.4% |
| 2022-11-30 beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +23.2% | +4.3% | +3.6% | -3.7% | -10.2% |
| 2022-08-31 beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +46.4% | +3.6% | -2.6% | +7.3% | -1.8% |
| 2022-06-01 beat | 0.05 | 0.25 | +454.1% | +13.0% | +18.2% | -6.2% | -9.5% |
| 2022-03-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.36 | +36.9% | +15.1% | +12.8% | +8.4% | +17.5% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 0.12 | 0.22 | +77.9% | +8.0% | +13.5% | +2.1% | +10.4% |
| 2021-08-25 beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +163.4% | +11.7% | +13.8% | +9.5% | +13.7% |
| 2021-05-26 beat | -0.06 | — | +100.0% | +1.0% | -0.6% | -2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +42.6% | -0.6% | -7.9% | -14.8% | -8.8% |
| 2020-11-24 beat | — | 0.01 | +407.7% | -2.4% | -8.2% | +6.8% | +31.9% |
| 2020-08-25 beat | — | 0.06 | +1160.5% | -12.7% | -10.1% | +3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2020-05-28 beat | -0.16 | -0.02 | +87.4% | +1.3% | +4.9% | -4.5% | -2.3% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +5.7% | -1.3% | +1.3% | -1.2% | -18.7% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +40.6% | -19.6% | -15.1% | -6.7% | +2.5% |
| 2019-08-21 beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +124.0% | +12.1% | +15.6% | -0.3% | +7.6% |
| 2019-05-21 miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -45.3% | -19.2% | -24.8% | +4.5% | +4.1% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -20.1% | -3.1% | +1.9% | -6.7% | +7.8% |
| 2018-11-19 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +41.0% | -3.6% | +1.1% | +4.7% | -15.2% |
| 2018-08-21 beat | -0.06 | 0.01 | +116.2% | +15.4% | +14.3% | +5.3% | +6.9% |
| 2018-05-21 beat | -0.12 | -0.07 | +40.4% | -3.5% | -5.6% | -3.6% | +8.0% |
| 2018-03-01 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +83.8% | -9.0% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -8.8% |
| 2017-11-28 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +69.0% | -2.9% | -7.2% | -3.9% | -10.2% |
| 2017-08-24 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +24.5% | +7.3% | +19.0% | -0.8% | +5.3% |
| 2017-05-24 beat | -0.22 | -0.14 | +37.1% | +10.7% | +9.3% | +12.0% | +12.9% |
| 2017-03-01 beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +74.5% | -6.4% | -13.7% | +3.3% | +0.5% |
| 2016-11-30 beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +33.5% | -0.3% | -9.7% | -2.1% | -10.6% |
| 2016-08-25 beat | -0.23 | -0.16 | +30.7% | +14.2% | -3.6% | +4.9% | +19.4% |
| 2016-05-25 beat | -0.23 | -0.22 | +5.5% | -18.8% | -15.4% | -6.1% | -21.2% |
| 2016-03-02 beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +24.9% | +4.4% | -8.5% | -10.8% | +0.1% |
| 2015-12-02 beat | -0.31 | -0.18 | +41.4% | +15.7% | +12.7% | +12.7% | -9.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.