PAGS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.5% | -0.8% | 8.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.6% | 3.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -1.6% | -0.8% | 3.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | -7.2% | -6.0% | 11.5% | 25% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 2.07 | 2.06 | -0.5% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +16.1% |
| 2026-03-04 beat | 2.23 | 2.33 | +4.6% | -5.6% | -4.5% | -6.8% | +5.4% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 1.91 | 1.94 | +1.4% | +4.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% | +6.7% |
| 2025-08-13 beat | 1.83 | 1.88 | +2.9% | -8.9% | -7.3% | -4.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.5% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -8.7% | -13.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.83 | 2.01 | +9.6% | +4.5% | -1.3% | -8.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-13 beat | 1.70 | 1.78 | +4.6% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -14.2% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 1.61 | 1.68 | +4.5% | -5.8% | -14.5% | -12.6% | -27.3% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 1.48 | 1.63 | +9.8% | +11.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -7.6% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 1.47 | 1.63 | +10.6% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -5.5% | +0.3% |
| 2023-11-15 beat | 1.32 | 1.36 | +2.9% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +11.8% | +32.5% |
| 2023-08-24 miss | 1.28 | 1.27 | -0.3% | -4.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% | -8.2% |
| 2023-05-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.20 | +7.2% | -6.0% | -13.9% | -1.6% | -10.5% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 1.28 | 1.25 | -2.5% | +7.6% | +5.4% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
| 2022-11-22 miss | 1.28 | 1.16 | -9.4% | -11.8% | -14.6% | -5.2% | -16.0% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.21 | +5.2% | +9.3% | +11.0% | -9.7% | -22.0% |
| 2022-06-08 beat | 1.11 | 1.11 | +0.4% | -4.9% | -23.8% | -18.3% | -18.8% |
| 2022-03-22 miss | 1.34 | 1.28 | -4.3% | -2.3% | +8.5% | -0.8% | -28.0% |
| 2021-11-12 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.0% | +6.0% | +3.7% | -15.8% | -25.0% |
| 2021-08-12 miss | 1.10 | 0.82 | -25.0% | +3.3% | +3.0% | -3.3% | -7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.