PAGS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.3% | 8.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -1.5% | 4.1% | 38% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 3.5% | 41% |
| 5-day | -3.2% | -2.8% | 13.1% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 2.07 | 2.06 | -0.5% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +16.1% |
| 2026-03-04 beat | 2.23 | 2.33 | +4.6% | -5.6% | -4.5% | -6.8% | +5.4% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 1.91 | 1.94 | +1.4% | +4.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% | +6.7% |
| 2025-08-13 beat | 1.83 | 1.88 | +2.9% | -8.9% | -7.3% | -4.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.5% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -8.7% | -13.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.83 | 2.01 | +9.6% | +4.5% | -1.3% | -8.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-13 beat | 1.70 | 1.78 | +4.6% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -14.2% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 1.61 | 1.68 | +4.5% | -5.8% | -14.5% | -12.6% | -27.3% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 1.48 | 1.63 | +9.8% | +11.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -7.6% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 1.47 | 1.63 | +10.6% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -5.5% | +0.3% |
| 2023-11-15 beat | 1.32 | 1.36 | +2.9% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +11.8% | +32.5% |
| 2023-08-24 miss | 1.28 | 1.27 | -0.3% | -4.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% | -8.2% |
| 2023-05-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.20 | +7.2% | -6.0% | -13.9% | -1.6% | -10.5% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 1.28 | 1.25 | -2.5% | +7.6% | +5.4% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
| 2022-11-22 miss | 1.28 | 1.16 | -9.4% | -11.8% | -14.6% | -5.2% | -16.0% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.21 | +5.2% | +9.3% | +11.0% | -9.7% | -22.0% |
| 2022-06-08 beat | 1.11 | 1.11 | +0.4% | -4.9% | -23.8% | -18.3% | -18.8% |
| 2022-03-22 miss | 1.34 | 1.28 | -4.3% | -2.3% | +8.5% | -0.8% | -28.0% |
| 2021-11-12 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.0% | +6.0% | +3.7% | -15.8% | -25.0% |
| 2021-08-12 miss | 1.10 | 0.82 | -25.0% | +3.3% | +3.0% | -3.3% | -7.3% |
| 2021-06-02 miss | 1.01 | 0.99 | -2.1% | +0.2% | +3.6% | -0.8% | +9.7% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.29 | 1.30 | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.0% | -8.5% | -23.7% |
| 2020-11-18 miss | 1.06 | 0.80 | -24.3% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +23.1% |
| 2020-08-27 miss | 0.96 | 0.90 | -6.4% | +3.0% | +0.0% | -11.5% | -15.1% |
| 2020-05-28 beat | 1.08 | 1.11 | +2.7% | +5.3% | +6.4% | +15.4% | +10.8% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.30 | 1.25 | -4.1% | -7.1% | -4.2% | -12.3% | -38.0% |
| 2019-11-19 miss | 1.20 | 1.18 | -2.1% | -4.9% | -17.1% | +10.3% | +8.8% |
| 2019-08-15 miss | 1.05 | 1.04 | -0.4% | +8.9% | +10.8% | -1.1% | -7.3% |
| 2019-05-14 beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +2.9% | +2.7% | +9.4% | +11.1% | +26.5% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.9% | +8.4% | +14.3% | +7.1% | +10.7% |
| 2018-11-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.8% | -14.6% | -8.5% | -11.0% | -21.5% |
| 2018-08-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.79 | +7.8% | +5.5% | +12.0% | -8.4% | -2.1% |
| 2018-05-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.75 | +25.8% | +3.7% | +5.8% | -1.2% | -17.4% |
| 2018-03-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.4% | -4.9% | +1.3% | -1.8% | -0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.