PANW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 10.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.4% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 2.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +3.0% | 10.2% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.3% | -4.4% | -9.3% | +3.0% | — |
| 2026-06-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.6% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -6.1% | +27.5% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.94 | 1.03 | +9.9% | -8.5% | -6.8% | -4.9% | +11.4% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.4% | -0.9% | -7.4% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-18 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.3% | +6.6% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +13.3% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +3.6% | -5.0% | -6.8% | +2.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.9% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -4.8% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.8% | -1.7% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.0% | +1.6% | +7.2% | -4.8% | -9.4% |
| 2024-05-20 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +5.6% | -7.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.2% | -24.8% | -28.4% | +20.7% | +9.8% |
| 2023-11-15 beat | 0.58 | 0.69 | +18.6% | -6.3% | -5.4% | +9.8% | +26.9% |
| 2023-08-18 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.0% | +12.8% | +14.8% | -3.5% | -2.3% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.6% | +3.4% | +7.7% | +6.1% | +19.3% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.39 | 0.53 | +35.4% | +9.3% | +12.5% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +20.4% | +9.4% | +7.0% | +2.3% | -10.9% |
| 2022-08-22 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.9% | +10.1% | +12.1% | -1.7% | -12.5% |
| 2022-05-19 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.7% | +11.8% | +9.7% | +5.9% | +3.3% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +5.6% | +6.5% | +0.4% | +21.9% | +30.3% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +4.5% | +3.3% | +2.0% | +3.9% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.