PANW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.9% | -4.7% | 5.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.7% | 2.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -4.4% | -5.1% | 5.1% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.3% | -4.4% | -9.3% | +3.0% | — |
| 2026-06-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.6% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -6.1% | +27.5% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.94 | 1.03 | +9.9% | -8.5% | -6.8% | -4.9% | +11.4% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.4% | -0.9% | -7.4% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-18 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.3% | +6.6% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +13.3% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +3.6% | -5.0% | -6.8% | +2.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.9% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -4.8% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.8% | -1.7% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.0% | +1.6% | +7.2% | -4.8% | -9.4% |
| 2024-05-20 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +5.6% | -7.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% | +2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.