PBA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 1.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.4% | 3.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 0.75 | 0.66 | -11.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -4.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.70 | 0.81 | +16.3% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +0.3% | -4.1% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.62 | 0.47 | -23.6% | -2.4% | -2.8% | +4.3% | +6.0% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.62 | -6.4% | -0.5% | -3.8% | +3.3% | +7.9% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +3.1% | -0.2% | -5.9% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.83 | 1.01 | +20.7% | +2.3% | +6.9% | -2.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.75 | 0.56 | -25.2% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.76 | 1.84 | +143.7% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +4.9% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.71 | 0.89 | +23.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.82 | 1.04 | +26.1% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -3.8% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -3.1% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.66 | 0.53 | -19.9% | -1.5% | -0.9% | +3.3% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.61 | 1.32 | +117.5% | +3.1% | +3.5% | +2.9% | +0.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +14.2% | -1.5% | -2.8% | +6.2% | -2.1% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.68 | 0.80 | +17.9% | +1.2% | +3.1% | -3.1% | +7.6% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.69 | 0.54 | -21.8% | -0.7% | +2.2% | +8.7% | +12.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.4% | +0.9% | +3.7% | -2.2% | -10.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.