PBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.7% | +1.9% | 12.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.9% | 4.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 3.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +1.5% | 14.2% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +32.3% | +4.4% | +2.7% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.7% | -4.3% | -3.3% | +2.1% | +12.2% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.6% | +10.3% | +8.6% | -4.1% | -8.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -2.4% | -10.5% | -6.6% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -1.8% | +4.8% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +6.7% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.19 | -32.1% | +4.5% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.16 | 0.32 | +100.0% | +3.1% | +11.7% | +9.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +50.0% | +9.1% | -5.8% | -4.4% | +3.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.07 | 0.03 | +142.9% | +25.2% | +10.7% | +14.3% | +2.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.0% | +6.9% | +24.7% | -3.2% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +250.0% | +7.8% | +1.0% | -5.5% | -0.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +13.6% | +25.6% | -0.3% | +8.0% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | -8.7% | -10.0% | +1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | — | -0.01 | — | +0.3% | -11.9% | +4.5% | +15.6% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -21.7% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +5.8% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -4.8% | +9.0% | -5.3% | +13.0% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | -6.0% | -17.6% | -5.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +146.2% | +12.1% | +23.4% | -7.1% | -12.4% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -44.4% | -14.3% | -15.4% | -3.3% | -4.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.3% | -2.2% | +7.0% | -0.7% | -13.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.