PBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.4% | +3.9% | 10.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.6% | -0.3% | 4.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 2.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | +5.3% | +2.8% | 14.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +32.3% | +4.4% | +2.7% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.7% | -4.3% | -3.3% | +2.1% | +12.2% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.6% | +10.3% | +8.6% | -4.1% | -8.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -2.4% | -10.5% | -6.6% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -1.8% | +4.8% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +6.7% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.19 | -32.1% | +4.5% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.16 | 0.32 | +100.0% | +3.1% | +11.7% | +9.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +50.0% | +9.1% | -5.8% | -4.4% | +3.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.07 | 0.03 | +142.9% | +25.2% | +10.7% | +14.3% | +2.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.0% | +6.9% | +24.7% | -3.2% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.