PBR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -0.5% | 4.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 1.9% | 65% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -1.1% | 7.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.40 | 1.62 | +15.5% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -0.4% | +16.0% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 0.99 | 0.96 | -3.0% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -11.0% |
| 2026-03-05 miss | 0.57 | 0.44 | -23.1% | +3.1% | +5.2% | +5.5% | +17.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.94 | +31.8% | +0.4% | +5.9% | +2.5% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -7.3% | -0.4% | +1.7% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | 0.80 | 0.65 | -18.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.47 | +152.2% | -4.6% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +6.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.74 | 0.90 | +21.8% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +4.8% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.44 | +42.0% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-13 miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -10.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -10.0% | -17.3% |
| 2024-03-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +27.8% | -12.6% | -11.5% | -1.6% | +7.4% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.0% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.2% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +0.8% | +9.5% |
| 2023-05-12 beat | 0.92 | 1.16 | +26.0% | +2.0% | +4.9% | -1.3% | +11.9% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.26 | +13.5% | -2.7% | -3.0% | +2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.23 | 1.34 | +9.1% | -1.6% | -6.2% | +0.3% | -6.6% |
| 2022-09-19 miss | 1.41 | 1.33 | -6.0% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -9.5% | +9.8% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 1.04 | 1.32 | +26.8% | +1.1% | +3.2% | +3.1% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +9.9% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +43.1% | -2.2% | -7.0% | -1.0% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.