PBR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -1.7% | 4.8% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -1.8% | 8.3% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.40 | 1.62 | +15.5% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -0.4% | +16.0% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 0.99 | 0.96 | -3.0% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -11.0% |
| 2026-03-05 miss | 0.57 | 0.44 | -23.1% | +3.1% | +5.2% | +5.5% | +17.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.94 | +31.8% | +0.4% | +5.9% | +2.5% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -7.3% | -0.4% | +1.7% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | 0.80 | 0.65 | -18.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.47 | +152.2% | -4.6% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +6.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.74 | 0.90 | +21.8% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +4.8% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.44 | +42.0% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-13 miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -10.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -10.0% | -17.3% |
| 2024-03-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +27.8% | -12.6% | -11.5% | -1.6% | +7.4% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.0% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.2% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +0.8% | +9.5% |
| 2023-05-12 beat | 0.92 | 1.16 | +26.0% | +2.0% | +4.9% | -1.3% | +11.9% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.26 | +13.5% | -2.7% | -3.0% | +2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.23 | 1.34 | +9.1% | -1.6% | -6.2% | +0.3% | -6.6% |
| 2022-09-19 miss | 1.41 | 1.33 | -6.0% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -9.5% | +9.8% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 1.04 | 1.32 | +26.8% | +1.1% | +3.2% | +3.1% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +9.9% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +43.1% | -2.2% | -7.0% | -1.0% | +8.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.82 | 1.18 | +44.3% | +9.4% | +9.2% | -0.1% | -7.3% |
| 2021-05-14 | — | 0.03 | — | +3.3% | +5.0% | -2.7% | +20.9% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.30 | 0.40 | +34.0% | +2.4% | -5.2% | -7.7% | -1.9% |
| 2020-10-27 miss | -0.02 | -0.02 | -13.1% | -3.7% | -7.3% | +7.7% | +53.6% |
| 2020-07-31 miss | -0.21 | -0.41 | -93.3% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -0.6% | -5.8% |
| 2020-05-15 miss | 0.07 | -0.11 | -264.6% | +3.5% | +1.0% | +15.7% | +40.0% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +20.1% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -16.1% | -66.3% |
| 2019-10-25 beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +22.4% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -7.8% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.35 | 0.20 | -41.1% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -0.6% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -11.1% | +2.0% | +3.7% | -7.2% | +0.8% |
| 2019-02-27 miss | 0.51 | 0.33 | -35.8% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +6.3% | -2.4% | -3.3% | -12.4% | -10.3% |
| 2018-08-03 beat | 0.33 | 0.46 | +38.2% | +4.6% | +5.1% | -7.9% | -17.0% |
| 2018-05-08 miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -9.3% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +21.5% | -30.4% |
| 2018-03-15 miss | 0.34 | 0.17 | -50.2% | -1.5% | -2.8% | +0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2017-11-13 beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +91.1% | -2.3% | -8.9% | +3.6% | -2.1% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +125.5% | -2.0% | -1.6% | +4.8% | +16.6% |
| 2017-05-11 beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +96.5% | +4.0% | +5.6% | -12.5% | -17.8% |
| 2017-03-21 miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -49.3% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +6.0% | -1.1% |
| 2016-11-10 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +22.7% | -3.8% | -5.9% | -0.8% | +12.4% |
| 2016-08-11 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +77.0% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +8.0% | +2.2% |
| 2016-05-12 beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +24.3% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -6.2% | -12.5% |
| 2016-03-21 miss | 0.04 | -0.02 | -150.5% | -2.3% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +18.5% |
| 2015-11-12 miss | 0.03 | -0.18 | -771.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +12.5% | +1.3% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -31.6% | -0.6% | -6.8% | -1.0% | -12.6% |
| 2015-05-15 beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +37.7% | +2.6% | -4.3% | -12.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-04-22 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.1% | -5.3% | +5.3% | +1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2015-01-28 miss | 0.31 | 0.19 | -39.6% | -9.3% | -11.9% | +10.7% | +1.1% |
| 2014-08-08 miss | 0.46 | 0.33 | -28.6% | +0.8% | +3.3% | +2.4% | +5.6% |
| 2014-05-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.8% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.30 | 0.41 | +36.6% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -0.5% | +16.7% |
| 2013-10-25 miss | 0.43 | 0.24 | -44.2% | +4.7% | +9.1% | -0.3% | -8.0% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.1% | +1.3% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +10.2% |
| 2013-04-26 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +5.3% | +1.4% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.2% | -4.8% | -7.9% | -3.3% | +5.8% |
| 2012-10-26 miss | 0.55 | 0.42 | -23.8% | -3.5% | -5.3% | +0.8% | -15.3% |
| 2012-08-03 miss | 0.56 | -0.11 | -119.2% | -4.5% | +0.5% | +7.0% | +1.9% |
| 2012-05-15 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.6% | +6.1% | +2.9% | -1.2% | -7.0% |
| 2012-02-09 miss | 0.79 | 0.46 | -42.0% | -6.2% | -7.6% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| 2011-11-11 miss | 0.85 | 0.56 | -33.5% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.