PCVX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -2.1% | 5.8% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.8% | 3.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.1% | 2.2% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +1.0% | 8.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -2.10 | -1.97 | +6.1% | -1.3% | +5.3% | -0.1% | +3.9% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -1.77 | -2.30 | -29.6% | -3.7% | -9.8% | +4.0% | -10.0% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | -1.50 | -1.80 | -19.7% | -5.8% | +2.8% | -4.6% | -13.2% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -1.24 | -1.56 | -26.3% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +14.3% | +15.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | -1.16 | -1.22 | -5.0% | -8.9% | -9.1% | +4.7% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.97 | -1.04 | -6.7% | +4.5% | +8.4% | -1.7% | +18.3% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | -0.99 | -1.02 | -2.6% | +4.5% | -0.9% | -6.1% | -10.0% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | -0.99 | -0.83 | +16.1% | +6.5% | -3.2% | -7.1% | -10.3% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | -1.00 | -1.10 | -10.1% | -0.2% | -4.6% | +9.1% | +58.2% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -1.06 | -0.85 | +20.1% | -2.7% | -1.8% | +15.1% | +9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.