PDD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -6.1% | -4.4% | 10.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -2.2% | -3.3% | 2.9% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | -9.0% | -8.3% | 10.8% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 beat | 18.35 | 19.33 | +5.3% | +2.9% | -1.5% | -3.5% | — |
| 2026-05-27 miss | 16.37 | 9.51 | -41.9% | -8.2% | -10.4% | -1.4% | -11.6% |
| 2026-03-25 miss | 21.02 | 17.69 | -15.8% | +2.9% | +4.6% | -0.8% | -4.5% |
| 2025-11-18 beat | 16.57 | 21.08 | +27.2% | -4.5% | -7.3% | -4.7% | -11.5% |
| 2025-08-25 beat | 14.80 | 22.07 | +49.1% | -1.0% | +0.9% | -5.1% | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-27 miss | 18.96 | 11.41 | -39.8% | -17.6% | -13.6% | -4.5% | +2.7% |
| 2025-03-20 beat | 19.67 | 20.15 | +2.4% | -2.6% | +4.0% | -5.0% | -27.9% |
| 2024-11-21 miss | 19.67 | 18.59 | -5.5% | -10.4% | -10.6% | -7.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-26 beat | 20.02 | 23.24 | +16.1% | -21.2% | -28.5% | -2.2% | +13.9% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 10.38 | 20.72 | +99.6% | +3.3% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.