PDM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 4.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 2.9% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.2% | 5.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | -0.09 | -0.09 | — | +0.3% | +3.0% | -2.5% | -2.0% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | -0.03 | -0.10 | -212.0% | -1.6% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | -0.05 | -0.35 | -601.7% | +4.0% | -7.8% | +2.0% | -15.0% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | -0.05 | -0.11 | -138.7% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -6.2% | +2.0% |
| 2025-07-28 miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -221.4% | +1.2% | +4.4% | -1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -19.5% | -8.8% | -15.4% | +13.2% | +26.1% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -0.03 | -0.24 | -683.3% | -0.4% | -8.2% | -3.6% | +0.5% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | -0.05 | -0.09 | -77.3% | -3.1% | -5.1% | -4.4% | -8.6% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -65.0% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +12.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | -0.09 | -0.22 | -137.3% | -0.7% | -2.2% | +1.5% | +8.2% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.23 | -984.4% | +1.4% | +5.4% | +2.3% | -3.5% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -259.0% | +2.9% | +2.2% | +14.4% | +19.4% |
| 2023-07-18 miss | — | -0.02 | -773.4% | +0.6% | -1.5% | -6.4% | -14.1% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +5.8% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +2.7% | -4.1% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.61 | +1861.4% | +4.7% | -2.4% | +0.9% | -20.1% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -51.3% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +5.8% | -6.1% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -6.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -5.0% | -10.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.49 | +617.1% | -0.3% | +2.1% | -4.3% | -11.5% |
| 2022-02-07 miss | 0.08 | -0.26 | -433.2% | -2.4% | -4.8% | +0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +12.3% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +1.9% | -1.7% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +77.9% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +37.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -0.5% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +337.9% | +1.7% | +3.2% | -2.2% | +7.5% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +18.8% | +0.2% | -1.7% | +2.8% | +40.5% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.07 | 1.52 | +2002.1% | -3.1% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -3.7% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -21.7% | -4.7% | -3.9% | -5.5% | -3.7% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 0.11 | 1.29 | +1107.5% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -6.0% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -25.8% | +1.0% | +4.5% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -21.2% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -2.9% | -3.4% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.10 | 0.40 | +298.6% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.