PEG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 2.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -1.3% | 3.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +7.7% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.43 | 1.55 | +8.5% | +0.8% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.4% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -2.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.01 | 1.13 | +11.6% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +2.3% | -1.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +10.2% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -0.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.43 | 1.43 | -0.2% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.83 | 0.84 | +1.5% | +1.1% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.0% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.7% | -3.6% | -6.2% | +7.4% | +12.1% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.0% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.32 | 1.31 | -0.7% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +7.0% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.7% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +6.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.0% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +12.3% | +1.7% | +0.1% | -4.1% | -2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.25 | 1.39 | +11.6% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.6% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -1.2% | -6.6% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +4.2% | +0.1% | -2.4% | +2.2% | +8.0% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.12 | 1.33 | +18.6% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.5% | -0.6% | -2.0% | +6.4% | +9.6% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.5% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.5% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.12 | 1.28 | +14.2% | -0.1% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.3% | +0.1% | -3.7% | +4.5% | +11.9% |
| 2020-10-30 miss | 0.97 | 0.96 | -1.2% | -0.9% | -2.6% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.79 | +30.9% | -0.8% | +6.8% | -0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +0.9% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -1.9% | +7.3% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.2% | +2.2% | -3.2% | +0.0% | -20.8% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +2.7% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -3.6% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.0% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.