PENN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -1.7% | 10.4% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.5% | 4.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | -2.0% | 13.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.26 | 0.44 | +66.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -6.4% | -15.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1303.5% | +4.9% | +16.9% | +1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.16 | 0.07 | +143.8% | +7.7% | +16.7% | +5.7% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | -0.03 | -0.22 | -633.3% | +9.4% | -10.4% | +1.0% | -6.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +1399.2% | +1.3% | -0.6% | +6.3% | +18.7% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.13 | -0.25 | -92.3% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +3.4% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | -0.37 | -0.44 | -17.6% | -2.5% | -0.1% | -5.5% | -17.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.22 | -0.25 | -11.9% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.25 | -0.18 | +28.7% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +2.9% | -5.6% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.52 | -0.79 | -51.2% | -2.5% | -8.8% | +8.3% | +15.5% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -0.46 | -1.75 | -280.9% | -9.8% | -13.8% | -12.0% | -9.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.35 | 1.21 | +245.7% | +8.0% | +14.0% | +1.2% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.5% | +16.8% | +9.1% | -14.2% | -18.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.5% | -5.8% | -13.6% | -3.6% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.36 | 0.17 | -51.2% | -3.9% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.49 | 1.32 | +168.2% | +0.6% | -5.1% | +11.1% | +9.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.50 | 0.15 | -70.1% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +1.3% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.45 | 0.29 | -35.6% | +1.0% | -5.6% | -20.5% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.52 | 0.22 | -58.0% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +10.6% | -9.8% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.91 | 0.53 | -41.8% | -4.6% | -21.1% | +1.4% | -11.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.