PENN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.8% | 7.7% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 3.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.6% | 3.4% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.5% | 11.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.26 | 0.44 | +66.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -6.4% | -15.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1303.5% | +4.9% | +16.9% | +1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.16 | 0.07 | +143.8% | +7.7% | +16.7% | +5.7% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | -0.03 | -0.22 | -633.3% | +9.4% | -10.4% | +1.0% | -6.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +1399.2% | +1.3% | -0.6% | +6.3% | +18.7% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.13 | -0.25 | -92.3% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +3.4% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | -0.37 | -0.44 | -17.6% | -2.5% | -0.1% | -5.5% | -17.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.22 | -0.25 | -11.9% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.25 | -0.18 | +28.7% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +2.9% | -5.6% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.52 | -0.79 | -51.2% | -2.5% | -8.8% | +8.3% | +15.5% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -0.46 | -1.75 | -280.9% | -9.8% | -13.8% | -12.0% | -9.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.35 | 1.21 | +245.7% | +8.0% | +14.0% | +1.2% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.5% | +16.8% | +9.1% | -14.2% | -18.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.5% | -5.8% | -13.6% | -3.6% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.36 | 0.17 | -51.2% | -3.9% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.49 | 1.32 | +168.2% | +0.6% | -5.1% | +11.1% | +9.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.50 | 0.15 | -70.1% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +1.3% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.45 | 0.29 | -35.6% | +1.0% | -5.6% | -20.5% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.52 | 0.22 | -58.0% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +10.6% | -9.8% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.91 | 0.53 | -41.8% | -4.6% | -21.1% | +1.4% | -11.6% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.10 | +23.1% | -5.0% | +9.1% | +1.3% | +13.0% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.64 | +121.1% | -3.9% | -8.2% | -9.3% | +0.4% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +15.8% | +5.9% | +8.5% | -4.9% | -7.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.56 | 1.16 | +107.9% | +4.6% | -1.5% | +17.4% | +25.6% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -2.21 | -1.74 | +21.4% | +0.5% | +14.2% | +21.6% | +23.5% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | -0.08 | -0.74 | -823.0% | -1.8% | +15.4% | -2.5% | +88.7% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.35 | 0.55 | +57.1% | -0.6% | +8.1% | +9.7% | -41.5% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.42 | 0.38 | -8.8% | -3.7% | -2.4% | +2.7% | +9.5% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +15.7% | +7.6% | -2.2% | -3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -6.8% | +2.2% | -4.8% | +0.7% | -11.7% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | -0.40 | -0.15 | +63.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -4.9% | -9.6% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -12.0% | -7.3% | -1.6% | -9.2% | -4.7% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 0.50 | 0.45 | -9.2% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -2.6% | +6.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.39 | 0.49 | +25.6% | +14.2% | +12.9% | +2.9% | +16.2% |
| 2018-02-08 miss | 0.17 | -0.03 | -117.5% | -2.6% | -7.9% | +3.9% | +0.7% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.22 | 8.69 | +3808.8% | -0.3% | -2.8% | +5.5% | +12.0% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.2% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +71.2% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.7% | +5.9% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | -0.15 | 0.05 | +134.2% | +5.3% | +5.2% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.28 | 0.51 | +82.3% | +3.4% | -1.3% | -8.1% | +5.6% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +32.4% | +4.0% | +5.5% | -4.8% | -4.4% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.3% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -7.1% |
| 2016-03-15 miss | 0.08 | -0.11 | -239.4% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +18.7% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +51.6% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +1.9% | -9.1% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +40.2% | +4.2% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -7.1% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +6.9% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -3.6% | +0.7% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +227.3% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +2.4% | +7.9% |
| 2014-10-23 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -6.5% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +7.3% | +14.0% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -40.5% | +1.1% | -3.6% | -4.2% | -3.5% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -56.5% | -7.3% | -9.7% | -4.7% | -1.0% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.08 | 3.16 | +4002.3% | -0.4% | +6.3% | -1.4% | +7.2% |
| 2013-10-17 miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -7.7% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +14.7% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.62 | 0.80 | +28.0% | -7.4% | -7.4% | -2.0% | +5.5% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.2% | -1.7% | +2.2% | +2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 0.47 | 0.28 | -40.0% | -1.9% | +1.6% | +7.2% | +2.0% |
| 2012-10-18 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +2.3% | +3.1% | +3.1% | -5.7% | +7.7% |
| 2012-07-24 miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.3% | +3.0% | -1.7% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | 0.59 | 0.73 | +23.0% | +6.2% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2012-02-02 miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | +3.9% | +6.1% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.57 | 0.77 | +35.3% | +4.1% | -5.7% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.