PFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.2% | 63% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.2% | 5.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 2.33 | 2.50 | +7.1% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.01 | 2.07 | +2.9% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +1.8% | +5.4% |
| 2026-02-09 miss | 2.22 | 2.19 | -1.6% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -1.3% | -8.0% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 2.20 | 2.10 | -4.5% | +2.3% | +3.3% | -0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.97 | 2.16 | +9.6% | +3.4% | -0.2% | -5.1% | +0.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.83 | 1.81 | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.1% | +4.6% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.93 | 1.94 | +0.4% | +3.6% | +2.9% | +4.0% | +0.7% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 2.01 | 1.76 | -12.2% | -3.1% | -6.6% | -1.8% | +4.0% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 1.85 | 1.63 | -11.7% | -4.4% | -3.4% | -7.5% | -2.3% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 1.73 | 1.65 | -4.8% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 1.69 | 1.83 | +8.2% | +2.6% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.62 | 1.72 | +6.1% | +5.8% | -1.0% | +5.9% | +6.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.65 | 1.53 | -7.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -1.2% | -4.0% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.6% | -5.2% | +0.0% | -4.3% | -8.4% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 1.54 | 1.70 | +10.4% | -1.3% | -0.9% | +0.2% | -6.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.45 | 1.69 | +16.9% | +1.4% | +7.5% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 1.39 | 1.65 | +18.3% | +3.4% | +7.1% | +7.2% | +4.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.56 | 1.63 | +4.4% | -1.1% | -3.5% | +3.1% | +7.0% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 1.65 | 1.85 | +12.3% | +2.1% | +4.3% | -3.1% | -16.2% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.59 | 1.69 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -4.4% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.52 | 1.70 | +12.2% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.34 | 1.53 | +14.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +2.5% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.43 | 1.48 | +3.5% | -3.4% | -6.2% | +6.8% | +17.3% |
| 2020-10-26 miss | 1.40 | 0.85 | -39.3% | -3.2% | -6.3% | +6.2% | +32.1% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 1.30 | 1.46 | +12.5% | +5.1% | -2.9% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
| 2020-04-27 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -1.1% | +8.2% | +6.1% | +3.7% | +21.4% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.39 | 1.41 | +1.5% | +3.8% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -18.5% |
| 2019-10-24 miss | 1.45 | 1.23 | -15.3% | -7.7% | -5.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.40 | 1.52 | +8.9% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -8.9% | -12.5% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 1.31 | 1.43 | +9.5% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +0.3% | -5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.