PFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 3.4% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 2.2% | 38% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.3% | 6.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.0% | +2.4% | +3.3% | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +11.3% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +15.3% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +4.9% | -5.3% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.4% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.7% | +2.1% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +7.7% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +7.1% | -0.5% | +3.1% | -1.1% | -2.3% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.0% | -4.2% | -4.6% | +4.3% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -23.7% | -1.1% | -0.9% | +14.5% | +11.0% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.37 | -0.11 | -129.7% | -2.3% | +2.4% | -9.0% | -0.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.0% | -1.1% | +5.2% | +4.4% | +8.2% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -9.6% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -9.2% | -15.3% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -12.1% | +2.9% | -1.9% | +10.3% | +6.6% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +1.2% | +1.7% | +0.3% | -4.4% | -13.5% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.59 | 0.54 | -8.8% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -9.7% | -6.7% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +4.1% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +4.9% | +1.0% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +6.9% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.2% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 0.46 | 0.58 | +26.1% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +3.9% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +5.4% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -3.7% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +5.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +3.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.58 | +28.4% | +8.2% | -0.7% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.63 | +47.9% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +7.2% | +8.1% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.36 | 0.56 | +55.8% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +9.2% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +116.0% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +19.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +62.7% | +2.5% | -1.9% | -7.0% | -6.3% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.34 | 0.25 | -26.1% | -6.8% | -10.8% | -10.4% | -9.1% |
| 2020-01-31 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -7.0% | -1.0% | -3.2% | +2.1% | -9.6% |
| 2019-10-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.9% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2019-07-26 miss | 0.47 | 0.38 | -18.8% | -3.8% | -3.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +5.1% | +0.0% | +2.2% | -2.9% | -11.3% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.3% | +1.9% | +6.4% | +4.3% | +3.6% |
| 2018-10-26 beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +18.1% | +7.8% | +5.1% | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| 2018-07-27 miss | 0.38 | 0.30 | -21.9% | -2.6% | -5.3% | -3.9% | -3.0% |
| 2018-04-27 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -1.0% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2018-01-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.36 | -6.7% | -6.3% | -4.0% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2017-10-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +11.3% | +0.5% | +3.4% | -4.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-07-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -5.0% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.1% | +3.3% | -2.8% | -0.2% | -7.8% |
| 2017-01-27 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.5% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +4.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +24.0% |
| 2016-07-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.3% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +5.8% |
| 2016-04-29 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2016-01-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.3% | +2.7% | +5.4% | -5.4% | -3.6% |
| 2015-10-30 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.7% | -1.9% | -3.4% | +3.9% | +3.2% |
| 2015-07-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.1% | +1.3% | +3.7% | -0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2015-04-24 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -3.0% | -3.2% | -3.3% | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2015-01-30 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | -1.3% | +0.8% | +6.5% | +5.5% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -9.6% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -2.4% |
| 2014-07-25 miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -10.2% | -1.1% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2014-04-25 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.8% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2014-01-31 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.5% | -2.2% | -3.9% | -4.8% | +10.3% |
| 2013-10-25 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.0% | +2.6% | +7.3% | -2.8% | +1.2% |
| 2013-07-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +18.9% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.5% | -3.3% |
| 2013-04-26 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +10.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2013-02-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +6.8% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2012-10-26 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.5% | +0.3% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -5.6% |
| 2012-07-27 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +3.1% | +2.5% |
| 2012-04-27 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +19.1% | +0.6% | +3.8% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-01-27 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.7% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +4.6% | -1.9% |
| 2011-10-28 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | -2.3% | -5.4% | -5.1% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.