PK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -1.3% | 3.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | -1.0% | 8.2% | 27% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.9% | 8.6% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +48.1% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +38.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +17.6% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -1.7% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -7.2% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -436.3% | -3.1% | -4.1% | +3.8% | +2.7% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.25 | -0.09 | -134.2% | -2.3% | -3.9% | -0.7% | +13.6% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.02 | -86.4% | -2.0% | -1.1% | +10.0% | -0.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.05 | 0.23 | +399.2% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -5.7% | -14.3% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -17.5% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +6.6% | +10.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +19.1% | +0.6% | -2.1% | -6.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.23 | 0.12 | -46.3% | +2.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.12 | 0.02 | -79.1% | -0.8% | +4.8% | +3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +32.6% | +5.4% | +12.4% | +1.0% | +17.5% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.5% | -3.6% | -4.1% | +4.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +142.5% | +4.3% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +5.2% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -8.8% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -19.7% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -8.3% | -0.6% | -4.4% | +2.9% | +0.3% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.28 | +45.2% | +1.0% | -3.2% | +6.0% | -7.4% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | -0.33 | -0.23 | +29.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -8.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -12.3% | -2.5% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.30 | -0.28 | +7.3% | -2.7% | -2.1% | +1.0% | -8.9% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.57 | -0.48 | +14.9% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.81 | -0.82 | -0.9% | -1.3% | +4.0% | -1.3% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.88 | -0.90 | -1.8% | +0.2% | +2.6% | -3.4% | -0.6% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.82 | -1.02 | -23.8% | -1.6% | -5.5% | +38.0% | +71.8% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | -0.96 | -1.11 | -15.2% | +1.9% | -0.5% | +11.5% | +26.8% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | 0.09 | -0.22 | -342.8% | -6.4% | -8.3% | +11.1% | +60.0% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -14.1% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -12.9% | -53.5% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 0.39 | 0.31 | -20.0% | +1.6% | -3.3% | -4.2% | +4.8% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.52 | 0.40 | -22.6% | -1.2% | -3.4% | -2.1% | -7.7% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.48 | +31.5% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -5.4% | -13.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.