PL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +9.8% | +4.8% | 28.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.9% | 4.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -2.1% | -1.2% | 2.0% | 0% |
| 5-day | +9.2% | +4.0% | 27.3% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +193.8% | +7.0% | -1.3% | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +28.6% | -12.0% | -26.0% | -3.3% | -13.9% |
| 2026-03-19 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +24.4% | +25.5% | -8.8% | +12.4% |
| 2025-12-10 beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | +22.0% | +35.0% | +0.1% | +44.9% |
| 2025-09-08 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +34.0% | +18.0% | +47.9% | +2.1% | +62.3% |
| 2025-06-04 beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | +30.8% | +49.4% | -8.4% | +16.3% |
| 2025-03-20 miss | -0.02 | -0.08 | -243.9% | -14.9% | -10.6% | -8.7% | -19.8% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +49.8% | -9.8% | -4.2% | +8.5% | -7.8% |
| 2024-09-05 beat | -0.06 | -0.06 | +4.8% | -10.1% | -28.2% | +20.8% | +27.0% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +22.6% | -0.5% | +11.0% | -8.4% | -12.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.