PM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.8% | +2.8% | 6.0% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 1.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 70% |
| 5-day | +3.6% | +5.0% | 7.0% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.05 | 2.20 | +7.3% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.83 | 1.96 | +7.1% | +3.0% | +7.0% | -0.8% | +14.9% |
| 2026-02-06 | 1.70 | 1.70 | — | -1.2% | +0.4% | +2.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.10 | 2.24 | +6.9% | -2.1% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.8% | -6.0% | -8.4% | -1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.61 | 1.69 | +4.8% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.50 | 1.55 | +3.4% | +11.4% | +10.9% | +2.7% | +3.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.82 | 1.91 | +4.9% | +3.7% | +10.5% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.56 | 1.59 | +2.0% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.41 | 1.50 | +6.5% | +0.4% | +3.8% | -2.8% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.