PM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 4.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 1.3% | 73% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 1.4% | 67% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +3.0% | 5.4% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.05 | 2.20 | +7.3% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.83 | 1.96 | +7.1% | +3.0% | +7.0% | -0.8% | +14.9% |
| 2026-02-06 | 1.70 | 1.70 | — | -1.2% | +0.4% | +2.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.10 | 2.24 | +6.9% | -2.1% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.8% | -6.0% | -8.4% | -1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.61 | 1.69 | +4.8% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.50 | 1.55 | +3.4% | +11.4% | +10.9% | +2.7% | +3.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.82 | 1.91 | +4.9% | +3.7% | +10.5% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.56 | 1.59 | +2.0% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.41 | 1.50 | +6.5% | +0.4% | +3.8% | -2.8% | +3.5% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 1.45 | 1.36 | -6.3% | -2.7% | -2.7% | +0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.61 | 1.67 | +3.5% | -1.9% | -2.7% | -1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 1.48 | 1.60 | +8.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 1.34 | 1.38 | +2.6% | -5.0% | -4.7% | +2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.28 | 1.39 | +8.9% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 1.36 | 1.53 | +12.6% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +5.3% | +13.2% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.25 | 1.48 | +18.5% | +0.5% | +4.2% | +3.8% | +7.0% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 1.49 | 1.56 | +4.4% | +0.3% | +2.0% | -2.5% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +6.5% | -14.7% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.4% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.55 | 1.57 | +1.5% | -2.0% | -3.1% | +5.2% | +6.3% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.39 | 1.57 | +12.9% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 1.21 | 1.26 | +3.9% | -0.2% | +4.2% | +2.1% | +3.3% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.5% | -0.1% | -5.8% | -2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 1.10 | 1.29 | +17.4% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +2.7% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 1.13 | 1.21 | +6.9% | -5.0% | -6.0% | +6.9% | -2.5% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 1.21 | 1.22 | +0.9% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +3.1% | -5.3% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +5.2% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +6.2% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 1.33 | 1.46 | +10.1% | +4.5% | +8.2% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 1.01 | 1.09 | +8.3% | +0.2% | -1.2% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.