PNR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.3% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.2% | 6.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 1.15 | 1.14 | -0.6% | +1.4% | +5.7% | +2.6% | -5.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.5% | -3.5% | -10.2% | -6.1% | -13.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +1.8% | -2.6% | -10.2% | +4.0% | +1.2% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.18 | 1.24 | +5.0% | -1.5% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -6.0% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.34 | 1.39 | +4.0% | -4.1% | +0.0% | -2.4% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.11 | +9.7% | +7.8% | +9.2% | +4.7% | +12.9% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +6.0% | -3.0% | -4.3% | +1.0% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +1.7% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.7% | +7.7% | +9.0% | +1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.90 | 0.94 | +4.6% | +1.9% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +0.8% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +6.7% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.1% | -1.3% | -4.6% | -2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.95 | 1.03 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +0.8% | -2.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.91 | +17.6% | +3.9% | +9.7% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +4.3% | +2.6% | +9.2% | +4.0% | +0.2% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.93 | 0.99 | +6.8% | -0.7% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +8.8% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +2.5% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -8.3% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.85 | 0.81 | -4.6% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -7.5% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.8% | +0.1% | -3.5% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.2% | -0.7% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +10.0% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.62 | 0.81 | +30.1% | +2.3% | -0.3% | +1.5% | +5.9% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +10.4% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -3.6% | +4.1% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 0.51 | 0.70 | +37.8% | +3.0% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +2.3% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +21.0% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +8.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +20.3% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -1.0% | +12.7% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.6% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -10.5% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.0% | +1.1% | +5.3% | +0.8% | +4.6% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.7% | +3.8% | +4.6% | -1.0% | -7.1% |
| 2019-04-09 miss | 0.54 | 0.43 | -19.6% | -11.4% | -13.5% | +3.4% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.