POR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -1.1% | 2.3% | 10% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 1.2% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 miss | 0.67 | 0.64 | -4.3% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2026-05-01 miss | 0.77 | 0.58 | -24.4% | -2.1% | -4.2% | -2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.56 | 0.47 | -16.6% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +1.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.3% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +4.8% | +8.4% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.8% | +1.4% | +4.2% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 0.99 | 0.91 | -7.8% | -2.0% | -3.8% | +1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.6% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +6.4% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.8% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -4.6% | -0.6% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.0% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +1.3% | +1.2% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 1.09 | 1.21 | +11.3% | +1.6% | -1.0% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.