PRAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -1.1% | 13.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.7% | -0.5% | 5.8% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | +1.3% | 18.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.53 | 1.51 | +187.6% | +12.0% | +9.0% | +4.1% | -3.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.73 | +44.5% | -1.5% | -8.1% | -21.0% | -19.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.50 | 1.46 | +192.0% | +20.6% | +24.3% | +15.2% | +9.5% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.1% | -2.5% | -11.0% | +22.7% | +32.1% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.62 | 0.35 | -43.6% | +18.8% | -0.4% | +3.9% | +9.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.41 | 0.09 | -78.0% | -24.7% | -29.3% | +12.2% | +4.6% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.2% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -7.8% | -10.1% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +44.1% | +8.0% | +15.9% | -1.9% | -15.1% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.54 | +912.6% | +9.9% | -8.9% | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.15 | 0.09 | +161.4% | +10.5% | -1.1% | +2.0% | -18.8% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -0.35 | -0.22 | +37.1% | +21.5% | +14.2% | -7.1% | -16.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.38 | -0.31 | +18.4% | +8.1% | +16.6% | +1.1% | +24.2% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +18.4% | +6.6% | -1.3% | -11.8% | -10.9% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.46 | -1.50 | -424.3% | -8.8% | -30.4% | -21.9% | -2.0% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.28 | 0.41 | +43.9% | +1.8% | +4.5% | -2.6% | -10.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.63 | +37.7% | +6.0% | -1.1% | +8.9% | +10.3% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.53 | 0.91 | +70.9% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +0.7% | -6.9% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.97 | +32.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -3.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.79 | +21.5% | -2.2% | +0.9% | -3.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.2% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.