PRAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.1% | 11.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 4.2% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +2.8% | 14.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.53 | 1.51 | +187.6% | +12.0% | +9.0% | +4.1% | -3.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.73 | +44.5% | -1.5% | -8.1% | -21.0% | -19.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.50 | 1.46 | +192.0% | +20.6% | +24.3% | +15.2% | +9.5% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.1% | -2.5% | -11.0% | +22.7% | +32.1% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.62 | 0.35 | -43.6% | +18.8% | -0.4% | +3.9% | +9.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.41 | 0.09 | -78.0% | -24.7% | -29.3% | +12.2% | +4.6% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.2% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -7.8% | -10.1% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +44.1% | +8.0% | +15.9% | -1.9% | -15.1% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.54 | +912.6% | +9.9% | -8.9% | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.15 | 0.09 | +161.4% | +10.5% | -1.1% | +2.0% | -18.8% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -0.35 | -0.22 | +37.1% | +21.5% | +14.2% | -7.1% | -16.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.38 | -0.31 | +18.4% | +8.1% | +16.6% | +1.1% | +24.2% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +18.4% | +6.6% | -1.3% | -11.8% | -10.9% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.46 | -1.50 | -424.3% | -8.8% | -30.4% | -21.9% | -2.0% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.28 | 0.41 | +43.9% | +1.8% | +4.5% | -2.6% | -10.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.63 | +37.7% | +6.0% | -1.1% | +8.9% | +10.3% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.53 | 0.91 | +70.9% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +0.7% | -6.9% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.97 | +32.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -3.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.79 | +21.5% | -2.2% | +0.9% | -3.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.2% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -2.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.76 | 1.22 | +60.0% | +3.5% | +8.3% | -5.7% | -1.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.75 | 1.27 | +70.5% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.2% | -0.5% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.65 | 0.92 | +41.1% | +0.8% | -2.2% | +6.1% | +19.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.66 | 1.26 | +90.0% | +1.9% | +1.0% | +1.9% | -1.1% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.56 | 0.42 | -24.7% | +22.9% | +32.1% | -6.2% | +12.3% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.60 | +18.6% | +9.7% | +11.8% | +0.6% | -27.7% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +19.2% | +3.7% | +5.1% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +11.7% | +2.5% | +7.6% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -1.8% | -6.8% | +3.5% | -1.7% | +0.2% |
| 2019-02-28 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +10.0% | +2.1% | -4.5% | -9.1% | -11.2% |
| 2018-11-08 miss | 0.37 | 0.22 | -40.5% | -10.8% | -11.4% | +6.9% | -7.7% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -5.0% | -4.8% | -8.8% | +4.6% | +2.1% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.36 | 0.47 | +30.6% | +7.3% | +7.9% | +2.8% | +5.0% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.5% | +14.8% | +10.2% | +2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-11-08 beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +27.1% | +7.9% | +22.9% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2017-08-08 miss | 0.49 | 0.30 | -38.8% | -4.5% | -13.7% | -9.3% | -18.1% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +3.0% | +0.4% | +4.7% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2017-02-28 miss | 0.67 | -0.33 | -149.2% | -8.6% | -11.9% | -7.9% | -8.1% |
| 2016-11-07 miss | 0.74 | 0.68 | -7.8% | -18.0% | -13.0% | +21.3% | +41.9% |
| 2016-08-08 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +1.9% | +0.5% | +5.2% | -0.8% | +13.8% |
| 2016-05-09 miss | 0.93 | 0.85 | -8.6% | -22.1% | -18.7% | +5.1% | -1.0% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 1.03 | 1.03 | +0.4% | -15.1% | -15.8% | +22.5% | +29.6% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 1.16 | 0.99 | -14.8% | -5.4% | -12.2% | -27.8% | -14.2% |
| 2015-08-10 miss | 1.15 | 1.06 | -7.5% | -7.7% | -11.2% | +1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +5.9% | -0.2% | +5.2% | +2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2015-03-02 miss | 1.11 | 0.96 | -13.2% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +3.8% | +10.8% |
| 2014-11-10 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.2% | +0.5% | -3.4% | -5.4% | -6.9% |
| 2014-08-05 miss | 0.90 | 0.87 | -3.7% | -2.4% | -6.1% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2014-02-19 miss | 0.91 | 0.91 | -0.1% | +11.5% | +17.7% | -7.7% | -3.1% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +16.4% | +0.1% | -5.5% | -3.4% | -6.0% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.9% | +8.3% | +3.6% | +1.6% | +7.7% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.7% | +4.1% | +6.6% | +8.9% | +16.3% |
| 2013-02-13 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +5.1% | +1.0% | +5.4% | +1.4% | +6.3% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.9% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -7.5% | -5.2% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +14.2% | +6.9% | +17.4% | -5.0% | +0.4% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.0% | +1.2% | +10.2% | -4.1% | -2.8% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +1.3% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +1.7% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +2.2% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.