PRIM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | +0.7% | 12.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.1% | 3.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 2.8% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +2.4% | 13.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | -0.36 | -0.27 | +24.0% | +0.1% | -8.2% | -2.3% | -11.8% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.84 | 0.59 | -30.1% | -36.7% | -50.1% | +11.6% | +20.4% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.99 | 1.08 | +8.8% | -16.0% | -8.3% | -3.2% | -1.7% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.35 | 1.88 | +38.8% | -7.7% | -10.6% | -2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 1.08 | 1.68 | +55.4% | +18.9% | +16.7% | +5.5% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.98 | +49.4% | -1.6% | -2.9% | +17.6% | +13.2% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.75 | 1.13 | +51.2% | +6.2% | +9.6% | -5.3% | -13.5% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.03 | 1.22 | +18.9% | +0.4% | +14.8% | +8.4% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.86 | 1.04 | +20.3% | +7.7% | +6.0% | +4.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.47 | +83.6% | +8.0% | +5.0% | +0.5% | +5.8% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.9% | -2.6% | -6.9% | +2.4% | +11.2% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.86 | 1.02 | +18.6% | +7.5% | +3.5% | +2.7% | +4.4% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.80 | +29.6% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +3.8% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | — | 0.18 | +3700.0% | +3.3% | -0.1% | +9.3% | +22.0% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.85 | 0.93 | +9.1% | -1.8% | +5.9% | -1.3% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.91 | 1.12 | +23.4% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -6.1% | -3.5% |
| 2022-08-08 miss | 0.65 | 0.48 | -26.1% | -1.2% | -6.0% | +6.2% | -8.3% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.14 | 0.01 | -93.1% | +4.7% | -6.9% | +9.0% | +14.7% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.8% | -3.9% | -12.3% | +12.9% | +6.2% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.76 | 0.89 | +16.8% | +0.7% | -7.7% | -2.1% | -9.3% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -6.0% | -5.5% | -12.3% | +1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.05 | 0.12 | +325.0% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -0.9% |
| 2021-02-22 beat | 0.43 | 0.71 | +64.2% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +0.1% | -8.2% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.67 | 0.90 | +34.3% | +4.0% | +5.5% | +9.3% | +28.8% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.68 | +115.9% | +5.6% | +2.6% | +9.5% | +15.8% |
| 2020-05-05 | — | -0.08 | — | +0.1% | -4.8% | +0.6% | +29.8% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.4% | -4.7% | -5.8% | -6.3% | -37.2% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.0% | +2.4% | +10.1% | -5.1% | -6.4% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +19.3% | +10.2% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | — | 0.04 | +1101.2% | +5.3% | +4.9% | -10.6% | -17.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.