PRU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -1.9% | 3.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 1.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 1.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.9% | 4.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.52 | 4.08 | +16.0% | +0.4% | -2.7% | +2.1% | +2.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 3.10 | 3.61 | +16.5% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +4.5% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 3.36 | 3.30 | -1.9% | -1.9% | -4.7% | +3.0% | -4.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 3.73 | 4.01 | +7.7% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +5.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.22 | 3.58 | +11.1% | +0.8% | +1.8% | -2.8% | +5.9% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 3.18 | 3.29 | +3.4% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 3.26 | 2.96 | -9.2% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | 3.48 | 3.48 | — | -0.8% | -3.3% | +1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 3.45 | 3.39 | -1.7% | -3.4% | -10.0% | -0.7% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 3.13 | 3.12 | -0.4% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +3.9% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.