PSA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.3% | 4.3% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 2.53 | 2.45 | -2.9% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +3.0% | -1.2% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 2.42 | 2.47 | +2.2% | +1.6% | -2.7% | +0.6% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.49 | 2.61 | +4.6% | -1.1% | +2.7% | +1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.54 | 2.62 | +3.1% | +1.5% | -2.9% | -2.5% | -3.5% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.55 | 2.58 | +0.9% | -1.2% | -5.8% | +4.4% | +8.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.39 | 2.42 | +1.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 2.56 | 2.51 | -2.1% | +2.3% | +1.7% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 2.60 | 2.56 | -1.6% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +1.2% | +4.6% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 2.62 | 2.59 | -1.2% | -4.8% | -2.8% | +4.8% | +15.5% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 2.45 | 2.39 | -2.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 2.70 | 2.53 | -6.3% | +3.1% | +1.6% | -2.9% | -2.3% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 2.78 | 3.20 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +8.4% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.89 | 2.98 | +3.3% | +2.7% | +2.9% | -0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.67 | 2.79 | +4.7% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 2.61 | 2.85 | +9.2% | -1.5% | -2.2% | +1.2% | -3.4% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.75 | 3.31 | +20.2% | -0.1% | -8.0% | +0.6% | +4.5% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 2.54 | 3.42 | +34.5% | -3.2% | +0.2% | +6.2% | +2.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.33 | 2.63 | +12.8% | -2.5% | -0.5% | -11.9% | -6.9% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 2.18 | 3.17 | +45.5% | +9.0% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +5.6% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.52 | +16.3% | +0.6% | +1.8% | -3.8% | -0.8% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.94 | 1.97 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +8.0% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.80 | 2.21 | +22.7% | +0.5% | +2.3% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | 1.94 | 1.67 | -13.7% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -4.9% | +0.5% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 1.72 | 1.41 | -18.0% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +0.5% | -2.6% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | 1.64 | 1.41 | -14.1% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +8.2% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.70 | 1.79 | +5.5% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +3.2% | +12.7% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 2.01 | 1.87 | -7.0% | -0.5% | +3.3% | -0.9% | -17.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.91 | 1.93 | +1.3% | -3.5% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -5.6% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 1.82 | 1.76 | -3.4% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +4.7% | +8.0% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +0.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -1.7% | +5.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.