PWP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +3.0% | 7.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +1.0% | 3.6% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +4.0% | 9.7% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.06 | 0.20 | +263.6% | +32.2% | +18.4% | -0.8% | -5.8% |
| 2026-05-01 miss | 0.17 | 0.05 | -69.7% | -9.6% | -9.4% | -10.8% | -21.6% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +65.8% | +10.0% | +8.0% | -7.7% | -27.3% |
| 2025-11-07 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -10.3% | -7.4% | -4.4% | +3.8% | +0.8% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +71.4% | -6.4% | +5.2% | +5.8% | +4.1% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +34.9% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | -2.8% | -6.8% | -2.3% | -22.1% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.19 | 0.34 | +83.8% | +5.1% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +0.6% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 0.17 | 0.43 | +156.7% | +6.1% | -2.4% | -0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-03 miss | 0.07 | -0.10 | -242.9% | -15.2% | -2.1% | +3.4% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +113.3% | +1.5% | +6.3% | +6.5% | +6.6% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +140.0% | +4.8% | +6.8% | +1.9% | +10.2% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.5% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +1.9% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +38.5% | -0.7% | +3.8% | +8.5% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +633.3% | +12.6% | +5.5% | +0.0% | -17.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.12 | 0.26 | +121.3% | +1.0% | +4.3% | +8.7% | +16.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.05 | 0.22 | +340.0% | +4.3% | +5.1% | +3.9% | -8.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -3.8% | +3.0% | -18.1% | +1.9% | +16.2% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -0.8% | +8.3% | +2.1% | -2.3% | -18.1% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +13.0% | -2.9% | -3.4% | +3.6% | -10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.